Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.060692 0.070630 0.081519 0.094314 0.108913 0.125029 0.144142
2025-02-09 0.042996 0.055399 0.070256 0.089275 0.112877 0.141098 0.177283
2025-02-16 0.032636 0.046056 0.063448 0.087438 0.119431 0.160358 0.216364
2025-02-23 0.025050 0.038423 0.057040 0.084495 0.123515 0.176462 0.253095
2025-03-02 0.019820 0.032818 0.052133 0.082382 0.127874 0.192880 0.291676
2025-03-09 0.016592 0.029444 0.049692 0.083145 0.136017 0.215051 0.340328
2025-03-16 0.013419 0.025474 0.045570 0.080510 0.138391 0.228645 0.377422
2025-03-23 0.012040 0.024234 0.045578 0.084347 0.151183 0.259167 0.443090
2025-03-30 0.010409 0.022205 0.043869 0.084938 0.158529 0.281561 0.497781
2025-04-06 0.008731 0.019744 0.040961 0.082917 0.161001 0.295962 0.540440
2025-04-13 0.007420 0.017745 0.038571 0.081433 0.164099 0.311488 0.586100
2025-04-20 0.006895 0.017300 0.039118 0.085563 0.177857 0.346731 0.668800
2025-04-27 0.006360 0.016761 0.039449 0.089424 0.191755 0.383903 0.758960
2025-05-04 0.005337 0.014879 0.036659 0.086529 0.192158 0.396333 0.805317
2025-05-11 0.004626 0.013601 0.034976 0.085715 0.196600 0.416726 0.868228
2025-05-18 0.003922 0.012182 0.032725 0.083312 0.197413 0.430073 0.918718
2025-05-25 0.003359 0.011008 0.030850 0.081470 0.199152 0.445309 0.974038
2025-06-01 0.003015 0.010370 0.030185 0.082352 0.206923 0.473411 1.057194
2025-06-08 0.002562 0.009300 0.028226 0.079803 0.206614 0.484586 1.106629
2025-06-15 0.002428 0.009188 0.028792 0.083643 0.221529 0.529398 1.229472
2025-06-22 0.002185 0.008663 0.028138 0.084246 0.228801 0.558182 1.320488
2025-06-29 0.001887 0.007873 0.026587 0.082250 0.229508 0.572454 1.381273
2025-07-06 0.001644 0.007214 0.025302 0.080781 0.231339 0.589364 1.449060